Polls show Clinton would win against McCain in November general election while Obama would not.

Recent national polls show that Hillary would win in an election against McCain 274 to 240 electoral votes. While Obama used to have a strong showing against McCain in the national polls he has recently lost major ground and it appears as if he would lose against McCain 231 to 292 electoral votes. No big surprise that his approval has dwindled in the wake of the Reverend Wright scandal. This will more than likely carry over to the general election since many major republican strategists have eluded to the fact that Reverend Wright's statements will be easy to use in the more than effective attack ads that Republicans have become so good.

Many bloggers in cyberspace have critiqued the validity of Clinton's big state theory because as most explain "primary results don't necessarily translate in to results in the general election" , but I beg to differ with them all on the viability of this argument. The trend presented in the national polls lends credibility to Hillary Clinton's big state theory.

She claims that her victories in 7 of the ten biggest states (in order of population): 1.CA,2.TX, 3.NY, 4.FL, 7.OH,8.MI,and 9.NJ are important to wining the general election.It also looks like she will win the 8th out of ten when she wins the 6.PA primary. Obama has only won in two of the biggest ten states: 5.IL(his home state) and 10. GA( which he has no chance of carrying in the general election). So, according to the national poll do her wins translate? In some of the states it does look like the support carries over. As of right now she would win CA,NY,FL,NJ,IL,PA and is very close in TX,OH,and MI. On the other hand, Obama would only win in CA,NY, IL and would lose in TX,OH MI, FL, and PA while fighting a tie in NJ. So, it appears Clinton's argument has some viability especially when you factor in those people in Michigan and Florida(maybe even nationwide) that will likely change their vote to McCain if Obama prevents their delegates from being seated and he is unjustly chosen as nominee.